Electrification of functions in the aircraft to a More Electric Aircraft (MEA) already leads to growth of Power Electronics and EWIS. This growth will be accelerated by the introduction of electric propulsion. Electric propulsive power for EVE EPOS SportStar is 75 kW, which is in the order of magnitude of automobiles. Boundary Layer Ingestion and sub-regional small aircraft (20 seats) will raise this magnitude to 1 MW and regional aircraft and large passenger aircraft to 10 MW and beyond. The market revenues foreseen, show a gradual growth for MEA and all electric aircraft. A change for regional aircraft to HEP is expected between 2036 and 2039. UTRC-I, FE and EVE strategy does anticipate this market development.
Market Outlook Electrical Propulsed Aircraft (INSIGHT 07 – ATI)
UTRC-I Power Electronics strategy will let increase the capacity accordingly, both in electric capacity as in market volume capacity. FE has the strategy to be supplier of EWIS to support all electric power electric data transport, including wireless data. EVE operated the EPOS SportStar as a platform supporting their technology developments with the outlook to exploitation for pilot training purposes. In the electrified version of 9-14 seat regional twin-prop EV-55 Outback, EVE envisions future full electrification and the technologies acquired will also support EVE business in the automotive industry. The revenue for Power Electronics for business and regional jet up to 2037 is estimated at greater than 1B€. As one of the largest player in this area, UTC targets a market share of >50% with a significant European footprint. EASIER technology outputs can also have potential off‑ramps to other electrical systems on aircraft. The market potential for high power EWIS solutions for electric (propelled) aircraft is based upon aircraft size and mission profile with corresponding fleet size and expected replacement and extension of these. Based on Fokker Elmo internal calculations, until 2040 an electrical propelled market potential in excess of 200 Bln € is foreseen (aligning well with Figure 18). Deriving the EWIS market potential (wiring is responsible for ~1% of the aircraft cost price) a figure of 2 Bln € is derived. As FE will aim for a market share of 25% in 2040 of EWIS suppliers, this represents a market share of >500 M€ over the period until 2040. This market share which seems reasonable concerning actual market position and GKN supported strategic ambition and market share growth from 12% in 2015 to 17% in 2019. The market potential after and expected turnover will significantly increase after 2040 according Figure 18. EASIER supports FE strategy to deliver the competence of a Tier 1 system supplier of System Integration Optimization, to ensure optimal integrated solutions instead of electrical wiring as a commodity. Power EWIS is part of the total solution of EWIS supplied and cannot be observed separately as market offer. It also supports the ongoing move to contribute to the development of new regulations and standards. According to sources of LAMA and LAMA EU, there is an estimation that the world fleet of two-seaters for sport aviation and pilot’s training has about 50 000 aircraft. The light sport aircraft are creating essential part of them (more than 3000 airplanes of the LSA category is registered in the USA only). A supposed sales quantity of sport two-seaters comes to 1000 aircraft per year. Market expectation for electric two-seater of the CS-LSA or CS-VLA category is at least 25 % in the first five years after its introduction into the market.
 INSIGHT 07 Electrical Power Systems, Aerospace Technology Institute UK, July 2018